The news is in that the Democrats
have been waiting for . . .The jobless rate fell in September to 7.8% from
8.1%. Wild celebrations are planned by the Obama folk. But here's the real
news--the job market is still terrible. So let's see the entire picture of jobs
today.
First, a little history. Democrats
are celebrating the decline in the jobless rate, which only shows how their
standards have changed since President Obama entered the White House. In 2004,
they were lambasting George W. Bush for a September jobless rate that was 5.4%.
How many new jobs were created last
month? A paltry 114,000. Job growth for 2012 has averaged 146,000 a month,
which is down from 153,000 in 2011. So
where's this recovery?
The reality is that more than three
years into this weakest of economic recoveries, 12.1 million Americans are
still out of work—nearly 23 million by the broader definition that includes
those who have stopped looking or can't find full time work—and the labor
participation rate is still down to 1981 levels at 63.6%. Seems like little
cause for celebration.
Here are more discouraging
statistics, compliments of The Wall Street Journal. Manufacturing
employment fell again (down 38,000 in the last two months), further dampening
one of the few bright spots in this recovery. A still abysmal 40.1% of the
unemployed in America have been jobless for six months or more. Such a job
market is anemic by any historic measure for this stage in an expansion and
reflects continuing slow GDP growth in the 1%-2% range.
Then there are those who work, but
they can only find part-time jobs. The number of part-time workers for economic
reasons grew to 8.6 million in September from 7.7 million in March. It's tough
to pay the mortgage, energy, medical and grocery bills with a 20-hour-a-week
job. The job market has been bad for so long that people are settling for any
paycheck they can get.
Campaigning on Friday, Mr. Obama
touted the latest jobs report and repeated his refrain that the economy has
created five million jobs during this recovery. Here's the catch. While the
numbers are correct, in a normal recovery we would have nearly twice that
number, and the economy is still about 4.5 million jobs short of where it was
in 2007. In the big picture we have fewer people working than when he took
office.
He also didn't mention that those
jobs aren't paying all that well because real median household income is down
$3,040 since the recession ended in June 2009. So, the economy is growing but
real incomes are still falling. Mr. Obama claims to be a helper of the middle
class, but he's presided over the worst economy for average workers since Jimmy
Carter.
By the way, does anyone else see an
amazing set of similarities between Carter and Obama (I know this wasn't the
topic). They both came in as outsiders, they oversaw a downward economy, they
were surprised in their first debate by their opponent's ability, . . .
No comments:
Post a Comment